#NVDebate: Tight race between Clinton and Trump

LAS VEGAS - An 8 News NOW poll of Nevada voters shows a very tight race between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump with only two points separating them.

Clinton has a slight lead with 43 percent followed by Trump's 41 percent. The margin of error is four percent.

The poll was conducted by JMC Analytics and Polling who interviewed 600 Nevada voters earlier this week asking them how they would vote if the election were held on that day.

The voters were also asked how likely they were to vote in the election. Nearly eight out of 10 said they were "very likely" to vote.

Question 1: How likely are you to vote in the November Presidential and U.S. Senate elections?

  • Very Likely                                  79%
  • Somewhat Likely                        4%
  • Unlikely (Call Terminated)     12%
  • Undecided (Call Terminated)  5%

Question 2: If the race for President were held today between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you support? (Party affiliations of candidates mentioned)

  • Clinton (Rotated)                     43%
  • Trump (Rotated)                      41%
  • Johnson                                      4%
  • None of the above                    3%
  • Undecided (Not Read)            9%

The Polling was done Oct. 10 - 13, only days after Trump came under attack over a leaked tape.

Trump found himself defending the tape of him talking crudely about women just before the second presidential debate. Some key Nevada Republicans, including Joe Heck, who is running for Harry Reid's U.S. Senate seat, withdrew his support of Trump after a tape was leaked.

As for Clinton, she has been plagued by the emails found on her private server, some of which were marked classified. She has denied receiving or sending any classified information, but the FBI Director James Comey confirmed a small numbers of the documents were marked classified.

Both candidates were asked during the debate what they think of the presidential candidates. Watch the video clips to see their responses.

Polling Methodology
For this poll, a sample of likely households for a live operator poll was chosen from the population registered to vote in the state of Nevada, and there were 600 completed responses to 10 poll questions. 69% of the phone numbers were landlines and 31% of the phone numbers were cell phones.
The survey was conducted October 10-13. The margin of error, with a 95% confidence interval, was 4.0%. The demographic breakdown of the respondents was 66-15-6% white/Hispanic/black (2% were Asian and 10% were “other”), while the party registration of respondents was 43-38% Democratic/Republican (19% Independents). The geographic breakdown of the respondents was as follows: 19% from the 1st Congressional District, 11% from the 2nd Congressional District (“Cow Counties”), 18% from the 2nd Congressional District (Washoe County), 25% from the 3rd Congressional District, 24% from the 4th Congressional District (Clark County), and 3% from the 4th Congressional District (“Cow Counties”) (The explanation of the boundaries of these regions is graphically depicted in Exhibit A at the end of the poll analysis).

 

 


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