#NVElection: 8 News NOW Poll finds Clinton, Trump races tied

LAS VEGAS - An 8 News NOW poll of Nevada voters shows a dead even race between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump.

Both have 45 percent support. In a poll done by 8 News NOW in mid-October, Clinton had a two-point lead over Trump. The margin of error for the poll is 4 percent.

The poll was conducted by JMC Analytics and Polling who interviewed 600 Nevada voters between Oct. 28 - Nov. 1 asking them how they would vote if the election were held on that day.

The voters were also asked how likely they were to vote in the upcoming election or if they had already taken part in early voting.

Question 1: How likely are you to vote in the November Presidential and U.S. Senate elections?

                                                                      CURRENT                     PREVIOUS POLL

  • Very Likely                                          45%                               79%
  • Already early voted                             42%                               N/A
  • Somewhat Likely                                 1%                                 4%
  • Unlikely (Call Terminated)                    9%                                12%
  • Undecided (Call Terminated)               3%                                  5%

Question 2: If the race for President were held today between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you support?

                                                                      CURRENT                      PREVIOUS

  • Clinton (Rotated)                                45% (Tie)                         43%                 
  • Trump (Rotated)                                  45% (Tie)                        41%
  • Johnson                                              4%                                  4%
  • None of the above                              3%                                  3%
  • Undecided (Not read)                          4%                                  9%

Question 3: (Only if "undecided" is selected for the previous question) Given that you are undecided in the Presidential race, which candidate are you leaning towards supporting?

                                                                      CURRENT                    

  • Clinton (Rotated)                                 45% (Tie)    
  • Trump (Rotated)                                  45% (Tie)
  • Johnson                                               4%
  • None of the above                               3%
  • Undecided (Not read)                           3%                  

Polling Methodlogy

For this poll, a sample of likely households for a live operator poll was chosen from the population registered to vote in the state of Nevada, and there were 600 completed responses to 10 poll questions. 66% of the phone numbers were landlines and 34% of the phone numbers were cell phones.
The survey was conducted October 28-November 1. The margin of error, with a 95% confidence interval, was 4.0%. The demographic breakdown of the respondents was 66-16-6% white/Hispanic/black (2% were Asian and 11% were “other”), while the party registration of respondents was 42-38% Democratic/Republican (20% Independents). The geographic breakdown of the respondents was as follows: 21% from the 1st Congressional District, 11% from the 2nd Congressional District (“Cow Counties”), 17% from the 2nd Congressional District (Washoe County), 26% from the 3rd Congressional District, 22% from the 4th Congressional District (Clark County), and 3% from the 4th Congressional District (“Cow Counties”) (The explanation of the boundaries of these regions is graphically depicted in Exhibit A at the end of the poll analysis).

Click here for crosstabs information on the poll results.


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